Paris again smells of earth and triumph. From May 18 to June 7, 2026, the main battle of the clay season unfolds on the courts of "Roland Garros". For some, it's a chance to enter history, for others, the last battle, for the third, a battle with oneself. This year's tournament promises to be particularly hot. And it's not just the weather.
The tournament started on May 18 with the qualifying week, where hundreds of players fought for a cherished spot in the main draw. But the real spectacle will begin at 11 am on May 24 in Paris time [citation:2]. That's when the first seeded players will step onto the court. The women's final will take place on June 6, while the men will fight for the last trophy the day after — June 7 [citation:6]. The main arena, the legendary court Philippe Chatrier, will host night sessions where new legends are born under the glow of spotlights.
The total prize money for the tournament this year is 61.7 million euros [citation:10]. Winners in the singles category will receive 2.8 million euros [citation:4][citation:6]. The finalist will get 1.4 million. Even those who lost in the first round don't go away empty-handed: they receive 87 thousand euros [citation:10]. The numbers are impressive, but, as always, accompanied by disputes. Players are dissatisfied with the fact that their share of tournament revenues, according to some estimates, has fallen from 15.5% to 14.9% [citation:4]. Tournament Director Amelie Morissette is not going to change the payment structure yet, leaving the question open for dialogue [citation:4].
The main news of the men's tournament is tragic and sensational. Current champion and favorite of the Parisian public Carlos Alcaraz will not be able to defend his title. A right wrist injury has knocked the Spaniard out of action, and his dream of a third consecutive "Cup of Musketeers" has been shattered by the harsh reality of medicine [citation:1][citation:3][citation:8]. Without his main antagonist, the tournament's draw has become barren. And now before us opens an historical window for Yannick Sinner.
The Italian has been an absolute monster on clay this season. He has won all three clay "Masters" consecutively: in Monte Carlo, Madrid, and Rome [citation:1][citation:7][citation:8]. This achievement was only previously achieved by Rafael Nadal in his prime years. Sinner is on a phenomenal winning streak of 29 consecutive wins [citation:3]. He is the first-ranked player in the world. He is 24 years old, and "Roland Garros" is the only Grand Slam tournament he has not yet won [citation:7]. The motivation is off the charts.
However, bookmakers' odds and expert opinions are unanimous only halfway. Former Wimbledon doubles champion Todd Woodbridge notes: "He is the most obvious favorite for a long time. But his greatest opponent is himself. Pressure, stress, the absence of losses" [citation:7]. The top half of Sinner's draw does not look insurmountable. Potential quarterfinal opponents: Alexander Bublik, Ben Shelton, or the resurgent Stefanos Tsitsipas [citation:1]. In the semifinals, he will already be facing Daniil Medvedev [citation:1][citation:9].
Daniil Medvedev has surprised many on clay this season. He has created the biggest problems for Sinner in Rome, taking a set from him [citation:1]. For a player who has always openly declared his dislike for this surface, this is a breakthrough. Medvedev's potential path to a semifinal against the Italian starts with Australian Adam Wallington [citation:9]. Then possible matches with Alex Popovic, Francisco Cerundolo, and Flavio Cobolli [citation:1][citation:9]. The problem is that Medvedev has never gone beyond the quarterfinals at "Roland Garros". Can he break this barrier in Paris-2026?
Andrey Rublev, seeded 11th, will start the tournament with a match against Peruvian Ignacio Buse [citation:9]. He faces a difficult path: in the fourth round, he may face Alex de Minaur, and in the quarterfinals — Novak Djokovic himself [citation:9]. Karen Khachanov will start against Frenchman Arthur Ja, and in the fourth round, he may theoretically meet Alexander Zverev [citation:9].
Before the tournament, Novak Djokovic celebrates his 39th birthday [citation:3]. His 2026 season does not contain any titles, and in Rome he lost in the first round to Dino Prizmic [citation:1]. However, writing off the Serb is a favorite pastime for those who later regret it. Djokovic reached the final of the Australian Open at the beginning of the year, eliminating the same Sinner along the way [citation:1]. Australian Open experts agree: in the five-set format and with the experience of 24 Grand Slam titles, he remains the most dangerous "ghost" in the draw [citation:7]. Although they admit that physically it is getting harder for him every year.
Djokovic's draw, by the way, is deadly. He may face Joao Fonsека (who recently defeated him in Rome) or Dino Prizmic in the third round [citation:9]. In the fourth round — Kasper Ruud, the two-time finalist of "Roland Garros" [citation:9]. And in the quarterfinals, a possible match with Andrey Rublev or Alex de Minaur [citation:9] is expected. To survive in this meat grinder and reach the final, where almost certainly the well-rested and angry Sinner awaits — a nearly impossible task. But this is Djokovic.
Unlike the predictable men's draw, the women's tournament is a turbulent zone. There is no unconditional leader, and any of the ten tennis players can leave home with the cup. The main names: Arina Sobolenko (the world's number one), Coco Gauff (the defending champion), Elena Rybakina, and four-time winner of "Roland Garros" Iga Swiatek.
Arina Sobolenko's path to the title is complicated by a shoulder injury and not the most stable form on clay [citation:5]. After the triumph in the USA, she started the clay season with a delay and was eliminated in the 1/32 final in Rome [citation:5]. However, on Grand Slam tournaments, the Belarusian traditionally transforms. Her path will start with Spanish Jessica Buzas Manero, and in the quarterfinals she may meet Jessica Pegula or Naomi Osaka [citation:5]. The semifinal against Gauff is a battle for a revenge for last year's defeat in the final.
Iga Swiatek. Clay. Paris. It seems like the formula for victory. But the Pole's season has not gone well so far. She has to defend a huge number of points, and in the draw she faces a terrible nightmare — Elena Ostapenko, who leads in personal meetings 6:0 [citation:5]. If Iga passes the Latvian barrier in the third round, she may face Elena Svitolina, and then Elena Rybakina [citation:5].
Elena Rybakina, on the other hand, has started the clay season brilliantly, taking the title in Stuttgart [citation:5]. Her powerful serve and composure in decisive matches make her one of the main contenders. Analysts agree that Rybakina and Sobolenko are the main favorites, and their meeting in the final would be a logical conclusion to the tournament [citation:7]. Australian Open experts bet on Rybakina and Sobolenko, although they note that the field is surprisingly even: "There are probably eight to ten women who can really win if they play their best game" [citation:7].
Notably, Mirra Andreeva, who continues to progress and has already entered the seeded players (8th number), and Marta Kostyuk, who has not lost a single match on clay this season as of the start of the tournament [citation:5].
The draw has prepared several surprises for lovers of upsets right from the start. Among the men, Arthur Fils, the main hope of the French, will meet the legendary Stan Wawrinka [citation:3]. Clay, Paris, former champion against a young hope — this will be loud. Also, pay attention to the 18-year-old Spaniard Rafael Hodar, who is going through the draw under the label of "dark horse" [citation:3]. Among the Russians, the key battle may be the match between Daniil Medvedev and Alex Popycin in the second round [citation:9].
"Roland Garros" 2026 is a tournament of big changes. The era of the "Big Three" (Djokovic is still here, but time is relentless) is ending, injuries are breaking the careers of young kings (Alcaraz), and a new power is emerging on the stage. Will it be the power of the iron Sinner or a bright change in women's tennis — we will find out in the next two weeks.
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